After a 12-5 SU/8-9 ATS regular season, Los Angeles went on a four-game playoff run (2-2 ATS) to claim the title. ETSUNDAY:Less than two hours until kickoff, WynnBet has the line at Buccaneers -2.5. Fitzpatrick can look like an All-Pro one game and then a UDFA the next. Derrick Henry cemented his place in NFL history with a 2,027-yard, 17-touchdown season. WynnBet was at -4 and moved straight to -6. They blew up one of the best offensive lines in football this offseason. "When it comes to this matchup, the Titans were the No. Leagues. This matchup opened at pick 'em back in May and made trips to Rams -1 and -1.5 early on. Several sportsbooks went from Chiefs -4 or -4.5 all the way up to Chiefs -6. The total went to 43 on Sept. 4, 44 on Sept. 6 and peaked at 45 a couple of times over the past few days. UPDATE 10 P.M. Multiple oddsmakers provide their insights on NFL Week One odds and action. Arizona made one of the more intriguing free agent offensive additions in multi-time Pro Bowler A.J. It's good two-way action, with 55% of bets on the Under and 51% of cash on the Over. However, Washington, which opened as a 1.5-point favorite before seeing the game move to a Pick Em on multiple sportsbooks throughout the week, is back to being favored by one on Sunday morning. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Kyler Murrays development took a major step forward in his second season, while DeAndre Hopkins lived up to the stellar reputation hed built in Houston. Darnold gets an upgrade in receivers from what he had in his final campaign in New York, and he goes from working with what was one of the worst rushing attacks in the league to having a now-healthy Christian McCaffrey at his disposal. Like it or not, the prior years playoff team tends to be overvalued in the market. The entire league is desperate for the spell to be broken in New England after a tough 7-9 season in 2020, but they also had so many issues to deal with. 10:47 am ET, SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 1 NFL picks now, You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,900 since its inception, Ex-groundskeeper 'Sodfather' blasts Super Bowl field, Gardner-Johnson calls out former Eagles coach, Best team fits for top available FAs at each position, Ranking all 32 QB situations entering 2023 free agency, 2023 NFL Mock Draft: Lions snag QB early in first round, Week 1 NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions, bets, sims, Mock: Carter falls amid warrant, Ravens take QB, Rodgers' trade value, logistics and best fit, Best team fits for top FAs at each position, Ex-NFL GM on ramifications of Carter's arrest warrant, Jalen Carter issues statement amid charges, NFLPA issues team report cards: Commanders fail, Rodgers emerges from dark with latest on 2023 decision. ", Opening line: Chargers -4; Over/Under 51.5Time: 4:25 p.m. NFL Week 1 Picks 2021. So what NFL picks can you make with confidence? By Tuesday, Tampa climbed back to -2.5 and has remained there since. Here are the updated. As long as reasonably good health prevails, this will be a make-it-or-break-it-year for Jones in New York. . ET SUNDAY:About three hours before kickoff, Kansas City is a 6.5-point favorite at Caesars Sports. Just as important, Ryan gains a talented offensive mind in Arthur Smith who helped lead Tannehills career renaissance in Tennessee as his head coach. This game is intriguing for two reasons. I anticipate that when we get closer to game time, the public is going to see those two teams and most likely bet Over. NFL Week 1 odds have been brewing for months. Miami opened and closed the regular season against New England and went 2-0 SU and ATS. "The loss of Tyreek Hill wont deter bettors from backing Patrick Mahomes and expecting big offensive numbers every time the Chiefs take the field," Murray said. Reportedly firmly on the way back to full health this offseason, Burrow will have the opportunity to reunite with former college battery mate and 2021 first-round pick JaMarr Chase. UPDATE 1 P.M. All of the Week 1 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 1 NFL picks now. The Broncos opened -4.5 and are up to -6.5 for the Monday Night Football opener. The 5.5-point opening spread seemed to be a sign of respect for Stefanskis squad, but its also worth noting the Chiefs dropped two games outright at Arrowhead last season. Rodgers did report to training camp in late July and will play for Green Bay this fall, but it will be interesting to see how he and head coach Matt LaFleur co-exist this season with perceived friction in the air between the two. Jaylen Waddle will join fellow new arrival (via free agency) Will Fuller to give the Fins the outside speed theyve sorely lacked for some time. ET SUNDAY: Los Angeles hit BetMGM Nevada's NFL Week 1 odds board as a 3.5-point favorite, moved to -4 and is now at -3.5 (-105). At WynnBet, The Chiefs are taking 71% of spread bets and 95% of spread money. The total peaked at 53.5 on Aug. 30 and again on Monday, then dipped to 51.5 Wednesday morning. The line has moved firmly in Buffalos direction since the open, with the Bills now 6.5-point favorites after opening at four points. On Tuesday, Los Angeles twice got to -4, and the Bolts are now -3.5 again. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | On straight bets thus far, spread tickets are running 6/1 and money 11/1 on the Broncos. The total opened at 52, dipped to 51 in early August and 50.5 in mid-August. Baltimore opened at -5.5, so take the extra point! The Broncos primarily made headlines this offseason for one big reason the quarterback position. The total moved from 52 to 52.5, but has since slid down to 50. Opening Total. The Patriots hosted the Dolphins in Foxborough in Week 1 last year as well, and defeated them, 21-11. Arthur Smith brings his play-action-heavy scheme to Atlanta, which is just a cheat code for players of Jones, Ridley, and Pitts caliber. The last on this list of best NFL betting odds in Week 1 will be short and sweet. And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? The Browns left no doubt that former head coach Freddie Kitchens was a notable part of their problem in 2019, as the transition to Kevin Stefanski couldnt have been more stark, in a positive way. The Bucs opened -2.5 in May, dipped to -2 in late June and bottomed out at -1 a few times in the second half of August. PIT 21 @ NE 28. While Detroit gets a younger, less beat-up arm, the move is seen as a downgrade for Detroit and Goff goes from Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp to Tyrell Williams and Breshad Perriman in terms of his top two wideouts after the Lions saw Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones depart in free agency. As it is, that unit will get a stiff test right from the onset of 2021 in the form of Cincys Joe Burrow-led attack, making this first-look spread a potentially exploitable one. And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Barkley is expected to play today against Denver. The reigning Super Bowl champions are eight-point favorites against the Cowboys in the latest Week 1 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Five more tickets on the Cowboys, and both teams have a lot of tickets. The Over is taking 51% of bets/57% of money. But we do know for sure that his offensive line has been decimated by preseason injuries," Murray said. Lawrences offensive line is nothing more than average. This time, hes the signal-caller for the Rams, where he has some really amazing linemen to protect him, so its very likely his stats are gonna get even better. But the Fish finished with a flurry, going 8-1 SU/7-2 ATS over their last nine games. Tickets are pretty close, but money is like 4/1.". "This one has moved a lot," Murray said. He now has Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel, Antonio Gibson, Logan Thomas, and a stable of young playmakers to target. The defending AFC champs for the second consecutive season, theres little doubt Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes and company are still smarting from their Super Bowl thumping at the hands of the Buccaneers. You'd think the defending champs opening at home would lead to L.A. being the favorite. Prospect Rankings Week 1 NFL picks, odds, 2022 predictions, best bets from top expert: This 3-way football parlay pays out 6-1 SportsLine's Larry Hartstein just revealed his top Week. But today's move had more to it than that. Results are calculated on the basis of betting $100 per team each week showing their cumulative profit or loss. Odds and picks are updated as of August 26th, as you can see. The line has moved up a point since the opener, but the model has still identified the Niners as the value side at this number. The Eagles will look for another dominant performance when the teams square off in a rematch on Sunday during the Week 1 NFL schedule. Hilton is on IR for at least the first three weeks due to a neck issue. while you're there. "We shockingly need the Over at the moment," Berg said, noting 58% of tickets on the Under is translating to a hefty 91% of money on the Under. The Giants were certainly impacted by the malaise that afflicted the entirety of the NFC East last season and Big Blue finished with a 6-10 mark while putting up just 280 points. ", Opening line: Rams -1; Over/Under 52.5Time: 8:20 p.m. Lions vs. 49ers (-8.5) is the only exception in the latest Week 1 NFL spreads. Four of the 15 remaining games currently have spreads set at a field goal or less, and there are a whopping 9 home underdogs. Firstly, we have a Jacksonville squad that will be head coached by Urban Meyer, who last stepped on a football field in January of 2019. Opening line: Broncos -3.5; Over/Under 41Time: 8:15 p.m. Theres a big change under center in Carolina as well. The backfield will be a lot thinner than it was last season as Mark Ingram is now in Houston and a whopping three would-be starting Baltimore RBs were injured in the preseason. section: | slug: nfl-odds-lines-picks-spreads-best-bets-predictions-for-week-1-2021-top-model-backing-49ers-panthers | sport: football | route: article_single.us | The defense also gets a healthy Derwin James back after he suffered a season-ending knee injury for a second straight year in 2020. The Texans Deshaun Watson has had a slew of off-field trouble, and is unlikely to take a snap for Houston this season. Also, continue to visit. The total opened at 41.5 months ago, peaked at 44.5 Friday, receded to 43.5 this morning and is now 44. We may be compensated by the company links provided on this page. The Packers have had a very unhappy future-Hall-of-Famer in Aaron Rodgers on their hands. Chase, along with Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, give the second-year gunslinger a highly potent trio. Gambling Problem? All Rights Reserved. Sunday, 9/12 Update: Austin Ekeler, who is listed as questionable on the final injury report of the week with a hamstring injury, appears to be on track to play and fill his usual lead-back role. Still, the road favorites are taking 85% of spread bets and 88% of spread cash. Looking for even more NFL content? ET MONDAY: Thirty minutes pre-kick, BetMGM has the Broncos at -6 (-115), down a point from the Sunday night peak of -7 (even). BETTING: FANTASY : Live Odds. NFL fans, are you ready to place. "Id expect the Over to be a popular public spot. All Rights Reserved. ET THURSDAY: With kickoff an hour away, DraftKings has the Bills at -2.5, representing a 3.5-point shift from the mid-May opener of Rams -1. "No movement here on the point spread," Murray said. Since then, it's dropped off to as low as 50, and it's now at 50.5. While the least profitable NFL team against the odds were the Carolina Panthers . KC returns almost all its key pieces, but they could have a No. ET Sunday, Sept. 11 (NBC). UPDATE 6 P.M. The Giants will be undervalued with a full arsenal of healthy weapons like Saquon Barkley and Kenny Golladay in September. An avalanche of injuries, especially on the defensive side of the ball, conspired to help do in the 49ers last season in their attempted defense of the 2019 NFC title. Defensively, Indy remained one of the leagues best units in 2020 but figures to have its hands full if Wilson looks like he did last year early in the season. The Florida product earned the distinction of being the player selected highest at his position in league history with eye-popping measurables and excellent numbers over his final pair of college seasons. He knows Green Bay's scheme as well as anyone and will only add to a pass rush which accumulated the second-most sacks (51) last year. Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,900 since its inception, and find out. That means priceless continuity for Tom Brady, who was clicking in Bruce Arians system by seasons end, and who much to the chagrin of the rest of the league should have a full command of the playbook right from the jump in 2021. The Bears endured another frustrating season in 2020, with their 8-8 finish helping to terminate the Mitchell Trubisky experiment once and for all. News, Bet with your head, not over it! 2023 Rebel Stakes Odds, Race Preview: Kentucky Derby Prep Races, FanDuel Sportsbook Releases 2023 College Football Opening Odds. 2023 NFL Combine: Prop Bets and Odds for the 40-Yard Dash and Bench Press. He will have a talented No. However, the defense, which allowed the third-most points per game (29.9) last season, will hope the offseason additions of Yannick Ngakoue and Casey Hayward make a major impact. But that includes a low-six-figure wager on Buffalo -2.5. Early ticket count is 4/1 and money about 5/1 on the Bills at BetMGM's mobile and retail operations in Nevada. The Under is taking 59% of bets, while 65% of money is on the Over. Defense was frequently an issue for Mike Vrabels squad a year ago, with the free agent signing of Bud Dupree one of the notable moves this offseason to address that deficiency. UPDATE 10 P.M. The story of the Rams offseason was the swap-out of Jared Goff for Matthew Stafford, with the latter finally escaping Detroit after a mostly miserable decade-plus in the Motor City. Interestingly, even with Beckhams status still uncertain, the line has moved down 1.5 points toward the Browns since the open, with KCs projected advantage going from 6.5 to 5 points. That is not to mention the suffocating defense that Ron Rivera has at his fingertips with Chase Young leading the pack. The defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams hosted the Buffalo Bills, who are the favorite in this season's Super Bowl odds market. These teams figure to be in the Wild Card race until the end. In Super Bowl 56, the Rams held off the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20, but fell short of cashing as 4.5-point favorites. It peaked at 53.5 Monday, backed up to 51 Tuesday and is now at the original number of 52. Baltimore signed free agents Devonta Freeman, Latavius Murray and LeVeon Bell in response to the latest back, Gus Edwards, going down. Running back Joe Mixon is reportedly fully over the foot injury that cost him the last 10 games in 2020 as well. 6-keys: media/spln/nfl/reg/free/stories, at That action came elsewhere including at The SuperBook but practically every book is now at -6. The Chargers spent most of July/August at -3.5, then dipped to -3 Aug. 31. Cincinnati's Evan McPherson was wide left on a 29-yard attempt with 3:37 remaining. Use of this website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your acceptance of these, 43.5 points scored by both teams combined, Warren Sharp gives you his sharpest betting edges for Week 1, Our Insider Patrick Everson breaks down all the hot, big, This week's card features a record number of home underdogs. Point-spread ticket count is running dead even, and the Chargers are netting 63% of spread money. Decimated by preseason injuries, '' Murray said the open, with the Bills now favorites... 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